As of 8:51 PM, it appears that John McCain is going to hold onto his lead. When I look at the polling data, it seems that the independent vote is what is swinging this election.
79% of the voters today consider themselves Republican. The were split evenly between McCain and Huckabee.
19% of the voters today consider themselves Independent. They split 39% for McCain and 22% for Huckabee. Almost double.
Unless Huckabee makes a quick gain in Greenville, when it is done, I think McCain will hold onto a 3% difference between the two.
Wow. How much closer does it get. Oh Yeah – 2000 in Florida and 2004 in Ohio.